Tuesday, October 29, 2013

College Basketball: VP's Preseason Top Ten

College basketball is upon us. With the season tipping off this week, I thought it was the appropriate time to reveal my top ten teams heading into what I expect to be a season of much parity (which should only increase the madness of March Madness). Not surprisingly, the teams at the top are no strangers to playing favorite. A handful of traditional powerhouses lead the way once again as the 2013-2014 season begins.

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1. Michigan State Spartans: I really hate to do this, but I have to pick my MSU Spartans as the most likely candidate to win a championship. I honestly tried not to pick Tom Izzo's bunch, but just couldn't ignore the potent roster. Coach Izzo's  resume speaks for itself, and unfortunately for the rest of the Big Ten Conference, he's got quite a versatile roster to manage. Denzel Valentine, who his coach deems the hardest worker on the team, will certainly be the x-factor while having to fulfill more play-making duties when starting point guard Keith Appling is out of the game.  MSU will need Branden Dawson to be their "easy-bucket guy," and get points around the rim the way Raymar Morgan used to do because the loss of Derrick Nix down low will certainly have an impact. On another note, watch Gary Harris shine this season as he preps for a run at the NBA lottery.

2. Kentucky Wildcats: Kentucky plays Michigan State on November 12th. If they can steal that one early in the season, I may have to swap my 1 and 2 rankings as a result. John Calipari isn't messing around this year; he scheduled North Carolina, Michigan State, Louisvile, and Baylor all as non-conference opponents before SEC play gets underway. Clearly he wants his young squad tested. And though young, this team should will be loaded and dynamic. Once again, Kentucky has brought in the nation's top recruiting class led by the Harrison twins. Coach Cal's teams are never out of the picture for long, and they'll be right back in the thick of things this season.

jabari parker3. Duke Blue Devils: My top five is filled with teams that have basketball masterminds running the show. But Coach K is in a league of his own. The best coach in America has a very coachable, gritty group to teach in 2013-2014. The back court looks good with Quinn Cook, Tyler Thornton, Rasheed Sulaimon, and Andrew Dawkins serving as leaders. All eyes, however, will be on highly touted freshman Jabari Parker. One Sports Illustrated magazine unfairly and incorrectly labeled Parker the next LeBron. If we hold him to that standard, his freshman season will be regarded as a failure. We ought to watch Parker objectively, and wait and see how the 18-year old handles playing multiple positions for the Blue Devils. Despite having talent, I believe in Duke more for their coaching and discipline than for the skillsets on their roster.

4. Arizona Wildcats: Sean Miller added the McDonald's All-American game MVP, Aaron Gordon, to the roster. As a result, things are looking up for 'Zona. Gordon, who was twice named Mr. Basketball in the state of California, also won two state championships in the Golden State. Gordon was also the leading scorer and rebounder for the US U-19 team that took home the gold medal this past summer. So, much like in Kansas and Kentucky, their is a talented youth movement hoping to do big things on the court down in Southwest America.

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5. Kansas Jayhawks: Kansas might have the youngest team in America, yet is still favored to repeat as Big 12 champs. After losing McLemore and Withey to the NBA, Bill Self went out and got himself some reinforcements. One of those reinforcements comes in the form of a 6-8 guard from Canada named Andrew Wiggins. Yes, a 6-8 guard is correct. So if any one college player is to be so bold as to compare himself to two-time NBA champion LeBron James, Wiggins would be the one to do so (in years to come that is). He'll most likely go number one in next year's NBA Draft, but whether or not he can lead a team as a youngster or not remains to be seen. The Jayhawks' greatest challenge will be how disciplined they can be in close, late-game situations.

6. Louisville Cardinals: Losing Gorgui Deng and Peyton Siva hurts. Those are the type of departures that separate a national title type team from a conference title type team. Right now, I'm acknowledging Louisville's limits and deeming them a conference title type team. They've got their coach in Pitino. They've got an excellent core of returnees with Russ Smith, Chane Behanon, Luke Hancock,  Wayne Blackshear, and God willing, Kevin Ware all coming back to school. But Peyton Siva was the catalyst. Much like the Oklahoma City Thunder of the NBA realized the importance of Westbrook come playoff time last season, I believe the Louisville Cardinals will also gain a higher level of appreciation for what Siva did for their program as this season unfolds. Can he be replaced? Can a freshman point guard come in and lead a team that just won a national championship? I just don't know.

7. Virginia Commonwealth Rams: Shaka Smart's squad had an up-and-down year last season. Consistency was nonexistent. That must be the focus of this year's squad, which returns four of its top five scorers from a team that despite lacking consistency, showed an all-around explosive level of talent. Darieus Theus and Troy Daniels were the only key guys to leave VCU, which means this team that's played together for some time now should have on-court chemistry second to no team. This should be the best team Shaka Smart has ever coached. Don't be surprised if the Rams have another Final Four run up their sleeves when March comes around.

8. Wichita State Shockers: It's time we give teams like Wichita State and VCU their due before the season, rather than after. This Wichita State team could be better than last season's team that stormed all the way to the Final Four. Cleanthony Early, who notched 25 points and 10 rebounds against the defending champion Lousiville Cardinals in the NCAA tournament last season, is back. As is Ron Baker, who might be college basketball's best shooter. Evan Wessel, another lights out shooter, will be returning from his redshirt year. Together, Baker and Wessel should be responsible for creating tremendous floor spacing on offense for WSU. The Shockers are set on the wings, and brought in two transfers to control the paint down low. The biggest question mark for this team is whether or not Fred VanVleet can be the floor general that Malcom Armstead was last year.
marcus smart
9. Oklahoma State University: The Cowboys return their top scorers, top assist men, and top rebounder for the upcoming season. Travis Ford has himself a takeover-the-game-at-any-moment type player in Marcus Smart. Smart, one of the NBA's top prospects, averaged 15.4 PPG, 5.8 RPG, and 4.2 APG as a freshman. I wouldn't be surprised to see his scoring average peek closer to 20 PPG in year two of his college career. It might need to if Oklahoma State plans on stealing the Big 12 title away from the Jayhawks.

10. Florida Gators: You can't lose Mike Rosario, Erik Murphy, and Kenny Boyton and still be in the top five. But starting center Patrick Young is returning, as are a host of other roll players from last season. Donovan also earned himself a superb recruiting class that will be looking to provide some fire power immediately. While quite the contrary is true in football, the SEC is far from a juggernaut of a conference. Kentucky should be the only in-conference threat to this restructured team from the Sunshine State. If the Wildcats stumble, an SEC title is once again realistic for Florida.

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